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The Shining Dragon: An Ars Magica Novel

Name: The Shining Dragon: An Ars Magica Novel
Brand: Jason P. Crawford
Rating: 4.1 (43 reviews)

A fantasy novel published under the Creative Commons license in the world of Mythic Europe.

Created by Jason P. Crawford · Launched Sep 1, 2026 · Closes Oct 1, 2026

Source: public Kickstarter page · all funding figures & images via KickstarterView on Kickstarter →

Raised

$1K

Goal $1K

Backers

43

3 data points

Funded

138%

Goal hit ✓

Time Left

28 days left

BackerLens analysis

🟡 Below the Fiction category average. This project has hit 138% of its goal, while the average live Fiction project on Kickstarter sits at 272% (49% below the category).

Early Momentum: 62 / 100 — strong potential. Project is in its first 28 hours, so the score reflects funding-velocity-per-hour rather than 24h trend.

Compare against 168 other live Fiction projects →

Funding trend

3 snapshots since launch · refreshed every 8 hours

Sep 1, 2026Sep 2, 2026

Backer growth

Back this project on Kickstarter →

BackerLens tracks the public Kickstarter listing. We are not affiliated with the creator.

Funding curve story

front loaded

Hit goal in 9 hours.

Front-loaded curve — most pledges came in the early days, typical of strong pre-launch lists.

day 1day 2

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EARLY MOMENTUM

🆕 NEW

62/ 100

Strong potential

Project is too new for 24h trend data. Score is based on funding velocity per hour, backer signups per hour, and staff-pick early signal.

Hours since launch28h

Funded so far138%

% per hour5.00%

Backers43

Staff pickNo

FORECAST

BETA

~$12K

Predicted to fund 1205% of goal

○ Low confidence (early)

How is this calculated? ›

BackerLens uses an empirical Kickstarter funding curve: ~30% of final pledged comes in days 1-3, ~70% by 85% of duration, then a final-week push to 100%. We divide current pledged by where the curve says we should be at this point in the campaign.

Project is in its first day or two — forecast is highly speculative and will tighten as more data comes in.

This is an experimental model. Don’t bet sourcing decisions on a single number — the funding curve cross-section is just a heuristic.

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